WizhardofOddz
0x500ebb48315d4e0a0262c1954844e754d7b879d4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $94.1k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.968 | $7.7k | +$413.01 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.885 | $101.72 | +$1.72 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.725 | $72.50 | −$12.50 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.160 | $68.45 | −$31.54 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.097 | $60.31 | −$39.69 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.075 | $48.40 | −$51.60 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.065 | $32.50 | −$57.50 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.090 | $9.09 | −$31.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$993.20at 0.799Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$858.66at 0.902Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$279.95at 0.708Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$165.66at 0.557Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$164.98at 0.861Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8809998059 | $3.35 |
| 09-14 05:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9344304491 | $709.51 |
| 09-01 06:27 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 06:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.8k |
| 08-15 10:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.1k |
| 08-14 21:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $87.01 |
| 08-14 20:02 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.229 | $138.52 |
| 08-14 20:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9099396655 | $778.21 |
| 08-10 19:52 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9399998997 | $3.75 |
| 08-05 04:38 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.836492321 | $814.82 |
| 08-05 04:37 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8357902914 | $1000.00 |
| 08-04 20:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $125.63 |
| 08-04 20:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $523.80 |
| 07-31 06:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.804056114 | $2.6k |
| 07-31 06:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.8477224229 | $30.51 |