BNGDGNNGLKGHFG
0x500ad64abfade563b19aebc9d95ccb15c182acd6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $159.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$320.00at 0.600Penguins vs. Flyers
- +$240.00at 0.700Pacers vs. Mavericks
- +$225.00at 0.750LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$126.00at 0.790Ravens vs. Dolphins
- +$119.00at 0.830Pelicans vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 13:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $19.26 |
| 08-21 13:13 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.40 |
| 08-09 08:37 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.75 |
| 07-26 06:41 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 07-25 09:03 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.03721 | $3.72 |
| 07-05 08:02 | GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $29.01 |
| 06-18 14:14 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.944 | $18.88 |
| 05-27 13:15 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.959 | $19.18 |
| 05-03 14:06 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $23.10 |
| 05-03 14:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $13.20 |
| 05-03 14:04 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $16.50 |
| 05-03 14:03 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $115.20 |
| 04-05 10:22 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.983 | $117.96 |
| 03-04 14:02 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 02-23 11:01 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $108.00 |