PolyBot

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Traders

turtle911

0x4fff3c11a5d9b77822e01792f933cdb28557be78

Realised P&L
$28.0k
Volume
$3.76M
Markets traded
1,405
Open portfolio
$22.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,405
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.789$12.6k+$4.6k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.210$3.4k$4.6k
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9040.969$1.1k+$70.90
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ? · No0.9170.989$889.65+$64.25
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · No0.9100.984$446.16+$33.34
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ? · No0.9000.982$392.60+$32.60
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ? · No0.8900.973$392.07+$33.40
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9380.985$366.40+$17.23
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? · No0.9400.973$359.82+$12.12
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? · Yes0.8540.902$313.91+$17.04
Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ? · No0.9600.987$295.95+$7.95
Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ? · No0.9200.982$294.60+$18.60
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7270.845$263.34+$36.66
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? · No0.9500.978$195.60+$5.60
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7800.951$190.10+$34.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:42Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?SELL0.3015018773$12.04
09-16 23:40Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.2794318182$24.59
09-16 23:27Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?SELL0.89$7.61
09-16 15:43Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?BUY0.88$52.80
09-15 23:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 17?SELL0.003$0.21
09-15 18:22Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.62$19.50
09-15 18:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 16?BUY0.003$3.72
09-15 18:10Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 15?BUY0.005$5.00
09-15 17:45Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.93$18.60
09-15 17:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 16, 2026?BUY0.93$23.25
09-15 17:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 16, 2026?BUY0.92$10.23
09-15 05:09Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.72$51.12
09-15 05:04Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?BUY0.9047713316$2.3k
09-15 04:51Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.9382074858$349.17
09-14 16:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.28$2.80