turtle123
0x4fff3c11a5d9b77822e01792f933cdb28557be78
- Realised P&L
- $23.4k
- Volume
- $3.56M
- Markets traded
- 1,242
- Open portfolio
- $20.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,242
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$2.2kat 0.544Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $49.06 |
| 08-02 11:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $52.20 |
| 08-02 03:37 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 08-01 18:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6809843716 | $434.86 |
| 08-01 18:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $459.69 |
| 08-01 15:38 | Will Marco Rubio say "Trump" 3+ times during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-01 15:01 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-01 14:28 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $33.28 |
| 07-30 05:34 | Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.3 | $24.00 |
| 07-30 05:29 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.968 | $14.67 |
| 07-29 18:53 | Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.79309 | $15.86 |
| 07-29 18:36 | Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-29 18:28 | Will Trump say "Say Something" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.40 |
| 07-29 18:27 | Will Trump say "Rebuild" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation? | BUY | 0.77 | $19.25 |
| 07-29 18:26 | Will Trump say "Rebuild" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation? | BUY | 0.74 | $25.90 |