LithiumIon
0x4fd5138a639a09b1be098ed7a3a13e4389a8f4f1
- Realised P&L
- $-627.97
- Volume
- $96.1k
- Markets traded
- 820
- Open portfolio
- $331.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded820
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$350.34at 0.780XRP Up or Down - January 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$300.35at 0.749Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$274.54at 0.777Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$205.53at 0.136Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$172.60at 0.812S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 00:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.078 | $7.80 |
| 08-14 00:55 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.773 | $77.30 |
| 08-14 00:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.975 | $48.75 |
| 08-14 00:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 08-14 00:52 | Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.67 | $51.59 |
| 07-28 17:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 07-27 11:57 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 07-27 10:21 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.984 | $98.40 |
| 07-07 21:09 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 07-07 01:47 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY | 0.764 | $38.20 |
| 07-07 01:47 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 07-07 01:45 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 07-07 01:45 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.77 | $26.85 |
| 04-25 00:48 | Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 04-25 00:47 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |