PolyBot

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Traders

LithiumIon

0x4fd5138a639a09b1be098ed7a3a13e4389a8f4f1

Realised P&L
$-627.97
Volume
$96.1k
Markets traded
820
Open portfolio
$331.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded820
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? · Yes0.6870.640$113.28$8.31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8800.925$92.50+$4.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7730.779$77.95+$0.65
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5280.645$22.57+$4.08
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.7760.115$11.48$66.06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0780.086$8.60+$0.80
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1900.048$4.75$14.25
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? · Yes0.0700.004$0.45$6.55
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.4270.002$0.07$21.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.3210.000$0.00$1.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$2.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Up0.6750.000$0.00$11.57
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$4.25
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15? · Down0.0320.000$0.00$32.17
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5? · Up0.4950.000$0.00$49.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 00:59Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.078$7.80
08-14 00:55Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.773$77.30
08-14 00:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.975$48.75
08-14 00:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.29$29.00
08-14 00:52Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?BUY0.67$51.59
07-28 17:15Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.23$23.00
07-27 11:57Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.78$78.00
07-27 10:21Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.984$98.40
07-07 21:09Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.88$88.00
07-07 01:47Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?BUY0.764$38.20
07-07 01:47Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?BUY0.76$22.80
07-07 01:45Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.78$23.40
07-07 01:45Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.77$26.85
04-25 00:48Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?SELL0.999$99.90
04-25 00:47Iran coup attempt by June 30?BUY0.88$44.00