PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4f4186c125fa3cfc5d4219ec5be69e0f1480a33d

Realised P&L
$-87.43
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$53.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) · Norwich City FC0.5200.475$18.23$1.73
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.9980.995$9.96$0.04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5000.475$9.50$0.50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.9800.991$5.06+$0.06
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.9220.895$2.91$0.09
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9840.992$2.02+$0.02
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.9790.982$2.01+$0.01
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · No0.9860.985$2.00$0.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9890.992$1.00+$0.00
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · No0.9960.997$1.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:44Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)BUY0.5199999917$19.96
09-15 12:55Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.3499999948$10.00
09-15 12:51Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)BUY0.9869999996$10.00
09-15 08:53Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)BUY0.9789999996$10.00
09-14 13:22Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.4899999824$10.00
09-14 04:41LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsBUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-14 03:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.9974507333$38.63
09-14 03:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.999$12.00
09-13 15:42Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.9969999999$28.83
09-13 13:05Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.1589999994$10.00
09-13 05:32Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-13 05:31Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)BUY0.4199999966$10.00
09-13 02:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.9299998419$2.00
09-12 09:08Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)BUY0.9829999994$10.00
09-12 09:08Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)BUY0.999$10.00