Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-04
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.281. up 0.136 over the period, from 0.145. Range 0.027 to 0.333. 166 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.285	26	26
0.286	14	40
0.299	274	314
0.300	95	409
0.303	196	606
0.305	10	616
0.306	216	831
0.308	10	841
0.310	10	851
0.312	175	1,026
0.316	218	1,244
0.321	74	1,318

Spread0.007Mid0.281

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.278	19	19
0.277	10	29
0.266	14	43
0.265	10	53
0.264	30	83
0.263	10	93
0.262	113	206
0.261	11	217
0.260	443	660
0.251	200	860
0.246	100	960
0.245	119	1,079

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.722	19	19
0.723	10	29
0.734	14	43
0.735	10	53
0.736	30	83
0.737	10	93
0.738	113	206
0.739	11	217
0.740	443	660
0.749	200	860
0.754	100	960
0.755	119	1,079

Spread0.007Mid0.718

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.715	26	26
0.714	14	40
0.701	274	314
0.700	95	409
0.697	196	606
0.695	10	616
0.694	216	831
0.692	10	841
0.690	10	851
0.688	175	1,026
0.684	218	1,244
0.679	74	1,318

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
alohaa	Yes	30,000
Bobi-Beebs	Yes	11,044.18
lox97	Yes	10,568.96
Mac-Gyver	Yes	7,718.19
Kaiji123	Yes	6,987.13
smalltimezzz	Yes	6,516.22
LinaBell🦊	Yes	5,000
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	4,999.94
Prexpect	Yes	4,004.29
RickRockRick	Yes	3,828.96
hetacz	Yes	3,700
0x616757230CFe930B016C4cde0620f58F6edE4447-1777974223801	Yes	3,099.1
Sugarina	Yes	3,000
0xd676535f347C3Be8A531bf08Ff1Bd417c530A859-1777974700203	Yes	2,811
sazzaa	Yes	2,795.5
Bitgod	Yes	2,505.28
0x146fb4c5	Yes	2,500.4
0x9b257ead1a6240d4ab5c2ae0253	Yes	2,275.16
MilkTeaa	Yes	2,267
LuckyMANNN	Yes	2,100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:03:35	SELL	Yes	0.278	2	$0.46
03:03:35	SELL	Yes	0.283	50	$14.15
03:03:35	BUY	No	0.7071937989	71	$50.00
03:03:33	BUY	Yes	0.2849998466	4	$1.05
03:02:44	BUY	Yes	0.3	6	$1.80
03:01:20	SELL	Yes	0.28	3	$0.90
03:01:18	BUY	Yes	0.2899969015	331	$95.90
03:00:47	BUY	Yes	0.279	36	$10.04
02:59:08	SELL	No	0.721	19	$13.70
02:55:48	BUY	Yes	0.28	7	$1.89
02:55:48	SELL	Yes	0.28	95	$26.74
02:53:21	BUY	No	0.7199999808	4	$3.00
02:53:21	BUY	Yes	0.2809999275	7	$2.00
02:53:18	BUY	No	0.72	3	$2.00
02:53:18	BUY	Yes	0.2819999219	7	$2.00
02:53:18	BUY	No	0.72	3	$2.00
02:53:17	BUY	No	0.72	3	$2.00
02:53:17	BUY	Yes	0.2819999219	7	$2.00
02:53:15	BUY	Yes	0.2829999309	7	$2.00
02:52:56	SELL	Yes	0.283	13	$3.68
02:51:26	BUY	No	0.717	50	$35.85
02:51:00	SELL	Yes	0.2767745496	728	$201.58
02:50:24	BUY	No	0.699	50	$34.95
02:50:02	SELL	Yes	0.301	2	$0.51
02:50:02	BUY	No	0.6829999972	73	$50.00