PolyBot

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Traders

letsmakemoney-298

0x4edfcf16c490bb2c0e4a9e982ece189c39683aef

Realised P&L
$1.69
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$5.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.135$3.55−$1.45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.2100.050$1.19−$3.81
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2600.065$0.65−$1.95
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026? · Yes0.1400.070$0.50−$0.50
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$3.20
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$8.40
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$0.70
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.40
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$3.80
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$3.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$1.82
Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$0.10
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:19OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?SELL0.64$4.70
09-17 17:19Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.59$8.31
09-11 11:06Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0699999998$3.00
09-11 11:04OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-11 11:01OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?BUY0.6799999238$5.00
09-11 10:57SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$10.00
09-11 10:56Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-11 10:53Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-11 10:49Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0909999999$3.00
09-11 10:46Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999517$10.00
09-11 10:42Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.72$7.20
09-11 10:42Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?SELL0.84$8.40
09-11 10:42Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?SELL0.968$9.68
09-11 10:42OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?SELL0.88675$17.73
02-21 18:04Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.45$4.50