letsmakemoney-298
0x4edfcf16c490bb2c0e4a9e982ece189c39683aef
- Realised P&L
- $-1.77
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $33.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.85at 0.440OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
- +$6.40at 0.360Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$5.50at 0.450Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$4.25at 0.320Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
- +$4.02at 0.196Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 11:06 | Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 11:04 | OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 11:01 | OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 10:57 | SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 10:56 | Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 10:53 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 10:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0909999999 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 10:46 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 10:42 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 09-11 10:42 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-11 10:42 | Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.968 | $9.68 |
| 09-11 10:42 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | SELL | 0.88675 | $17.73 |
| 02-21 18:04 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 02-21 18:04 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 02-21 18:02 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |