barenverge
0x4eb601e831ba73bbc8e9f9f60aa636af632a5e8a
- Realised P&L
- $-173.40
- Volume
- $60.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,680
- Open portfolio
- $524.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,680
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.81at 0.669Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
- +$26.73at 0.140Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
- +$17.39at 0.416Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?
- +$13.89at 0.126US strikes Yemen by December 31?
- +$13.46at 0.705Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 11:43 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.559 | $4.84 |
| 08-11 11:43 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.442 | $4.79 |
| 08-11 06:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.74 |
| 08-10 15:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.95 |
| 08-10 14:26 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16? | BUY | 0.9274301676 | $4.98 |
| 08-10 14:25 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.94 |
| 08-10 14:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.92 |
| 08-10 13:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $4.92 |
| 08-10 12:31 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.90 |
| 08-10 12:31 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.90 |
| 08-10 12:09 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.90 |
| 08-10 12:09 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.90 |
| 08-10 07:54 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2078991597 | $4.95 |
| 08-10 07:54 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1897719498 | $4.99 |
| 08-10 07:11 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.33 | $4.85 |