barenverge
0x4eb601e831ba73bbc8e9f9f60aa636af632a5e8a
- Realised P&L
- $-224.71
- Volume
- $59.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,685
- Open portfolio
- $298.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,685
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.73at 0.140Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
- +$17.39at 0.416Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?
- +$13.89at 0.126US strikes Yemen by December 31?
- +$12.79at 0.361Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?
- +$12.67at 0.198US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:55 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs SOLID (BO5) - NEXUS SERIES Playoffs | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs SOLID (BO5) - NEXUS SERIES Playoffs | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.968 | $12.42 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.969 | $13.45 |
| 11-01 19:51 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.981 | $14.42 |
| 11-01 17:07 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $21.71 |
| 11-01 17:07 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $3.38 |
| 11-01 16:03 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 15:58 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 15:41 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 11-01 15:41 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs | SELL | 0.8 | $8.10 |
| 11-01 14:18 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 11-01 14:13 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |