PolyBot

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Traders

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

0x4e72c22cd76f9973a48aedfd79feeaacc8b7ffb9

Realised P&L
$-29.5k
Volume
$2.44M
Markets traded
41,068
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded41,068
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.2650.445$2.4k+$953.29
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.765$189.40+$182.12
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0290.201$171.84+$146.70
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5520.645$66.20+$9.51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18? · No0.9980.997$59.26$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 18? · No0.9900.975$57.98$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 18? · No0.9300.965$57.39+$2.06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18? · No0.8060.835$49.66+$1.74
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 18? · No0.9990.999$44.07+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18? · No0.7550.740$44.02$0.91
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18? · No0.9990.999$36.86$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18? · No0.4880.480$28.55$0.50
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5690.545$27.57$1.21
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.4100.455$23.69+$2.34
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.7770.795$22.93+$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:58Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.998$5.09
09-18 01:55Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.9978698594$38.34
09-18 01:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.999$1.76
09-18 01:53Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?BUY0.78$7.87
09-18 01:53Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.92$8.32
09-18 01:51Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.999$10.31
09-18 01:46Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.12$0.18
09-18 01:46Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.86$4.42
09-18 01:44Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.99$30.26
09-18 01:43Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.996$12.16
09-18 01:42Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?BUY0.97$7.89
09-18 01:42Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.999$5.99
09-18 01:39Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.03$0.29
09-18 01:37Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.03$1.38
09-18 01:35Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.006$0.06