0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343
0x4e72c22cd76f9973a48aedfd79feeaacc8b7ffb9
- Realised P&L
- $76.0k
- Volume
- $3.34M
- Markets traded
- 57,256
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded57,256
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.3kat 0.008Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
- +$21.7kat 0.009Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$15.7kat 0.007Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$11.8kat 0.010Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$6.9kat 0.275Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6500319489 | $16.28 |
| 11-02 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.57 |
| 11-02 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.18 |
| 11-02 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.18 |
| 11-02 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9780186457 | $9.97 |
| 11-02 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.53 |
| 11-02 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.72 |
| 11-02 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 11-02 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.9590159363 | $4.81 |
| 11-02 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.16 |
| 11-02 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.15 |
| 11-02 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.18 |
| 11-02 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.36 |
| 11-02 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.33 | $0.66 |