RockyBro
0x4e4f14cecad60d7ba71f251b63af396d5642a849
- Realised P&L
- $-70.81
- Volume
- $102.3k
- Markets traded
- 535
- Open portfolio
- $185.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded535
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.64at 0.453 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$119.31at 0.049Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
- +$72.48at 0.743Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$70.91at 0.537Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
- +$64.47at 0.584Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:24 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $28.18 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $28.18 |
| 08-19 12:34 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.12 |
| 08-19 12:33 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.961 | $0.93 |
| 08-19 12:33 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.08 |
| 08-19 12:33 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.13 |
| 08-19 12:33 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 08-19 12:33 | Will Marcus Rashford join AC Milan? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 08-19 12:32 | Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 08-19 12:32 | Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.142 | $0.03 |
| 08-19 12:31 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.30 |
| 08-19 12:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.36 |
| 08-19 12:31 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.666 | $1.64 |
| 08-19 12:30 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.31 |
| 08-19 12:30 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.00 |