PolyBot

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Traders

RazvanelMan

0x4e2059e3e3bb2c31a9a4a0748e9278282a09ccb8

Realised P&L
$24.8k
Volume
$245.8k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$88.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.3650.015$79.36$1.8k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5410.065$7.15$52.35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3700.085$0.85$2.85
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4900.140$0.70$1.75
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2600.135$0.67$0.62
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$10.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$48.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$3.00
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$18.00
09-16 14:48Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.4$4.00
09-16 14:45Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.37$3.70
09-02 13:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.43$2.15
09-02 13:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.43$2.15
07-10 20:38Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsBUY0.1399999426$2.00
07-10 20:00Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0629999811$3.00
06-30 12:10Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.101$10.00
06-30 12:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1129999903$10.00
06-30 12:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1939999872$10.00
06-20 17:50Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?SELL0.16$9.41
06-20 17:31Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
06-20 17:31Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
06-15 20:28Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.299999982$10.00
06-14 20:59Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7983235206$100.00