PolyBot

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Traders

0x4e0e717d6113f448d053c4cc1479dfd3928437d6

0x4e0e717d6113f448d053c4cc1479dfd3928437d6

Realised P&L
$25.93
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$88.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · Yes0.8160.650$39.81−$10.19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5960.439$14.71−$5.29
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.6200.450$14.52−$5.48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.8000.555$13.88−$6.13
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0870.052$2.63−$1.77
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6400.105$1.78−$9.07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.045$0.94−$4.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 18:15Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.8$19.67
10-27 16:28Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.56$16.47
10-26 18:14Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?SELL0.751400168$53.66
10-26 10:45Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0709999985$3.00
10-26 10:45Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.87$6.33
10-26 10:42Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.584$24.69
10-21 12:11Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?SELL0.79$21.94
10-21 12:07Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?SELL0.0123788182$1.98
10-21 07:02Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?BUY0.062592087$10.00
10-16 06:34Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboSELL0.029$5.61
10-16 06:34Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboSELL0.0306135331$5.93
10-11 13:36Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.02$0.46
10-11 13:32Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.002$0.03
10-11 13:32Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?BUY0.0859770372$1.99
10-11 13:14Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.002$0.03