bb7
0x4dfbca45b4b59e7c774a294b8126d85ee7f54a57
- Realised P&L
- $-27.40
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $85.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.31at 0.513Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?
- +$19.22at 0.510Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$13.59at 0.269Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$12.26at 0.620Will Gladiator II gross between $60-67m on opening weekend?
- +$9.59at 0.610Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 17:01 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 11:19 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 10? | BUY | 0.5799997332 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 11:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 11:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.9819999984 | $3.73 |
| 07-01 01:55 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6299999249 | $2.35 |
| 06-25 13:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 10:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22? | BUY | 0.5048543268 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 13:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.33 |
| 06-16 10:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 11:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 11:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 16:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 11:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? | BUY | 0.9679999985 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 11:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 15:17 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |