PolyBot

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Traders

0x4dc621b83d1f33b6307b5074880513eb78b9cd8a

0x4dc621b83d1f33b6307b5074880513eb78b9cd8a

Realised P&L
$-0.52
Volume
$300.66
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$4.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.3200.580$1.81+$0.81
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2500.325$1.30+$0.30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2300.195$0.85−$0.15
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes0.7200.265$0.37−$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 19:39Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-03 05:05Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-02 18:47Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-02 18:33Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-28 04:26Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-27 19:34Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.6199997024$1.00
09-27 09:33Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-27 01:23Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-26 17:15Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
09-26 08:56Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-22 23:15Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-22 14:09Will Cracker Barrel say "Tailwind" during earnings call?BUY0.439999956$2.00
09-17 11:08Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
09-08 22:27Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
09-04 00:37Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.25$2.00