b79
0x4d9d7f303dde919abc0bd299bbb3b2ef9e29eabf
- Realised P&L
- $-9.53
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,384
- Open portfolio
- $26.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,384
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.31at 0.660XRP Up or Down - November 21, 3PM ET
- +$1.20at 0.740Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$1.09at 0.880Will "Nosferatu" win Best Cinematography at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$1.00at 0.940Will Trump say "Iran" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?
- +$0.84at 0.910Adin Ross unbanned from Twitch today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:28 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.30 |
| 08-01 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.24 |
| 08-01 22:28 | Exact Score: Racing Louisville FC 2 - 1 Chicago Stars FC? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.01 |
| 08-01 22:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.09 |
| 07-31 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.39 |
| 07-31 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $1.39 |
| 07-31 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.37 |
| 07-31 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.37 |
| 07-31 21:25 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $1.37 |
| 07-31 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.24 |
| 07-31 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.24 |
| 07-31 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.21 |
| 07-30 22:00 | Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.40 |
| 07-30 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.38 |
| 07-30 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.38 |