PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4d59652f8c3b4cb2aee44a54adbeb59fb3631e2f

Realised P&L
$226.03
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
577
Open portfolio
$372.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded577
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1110.825$119.37+$103.38
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4220.895$65.10+$34.43
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1980.841$43.57+$33.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.981$14.76+$0.76
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8720.925$13.79+$0.79
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7120.892$11.28+$2.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.981$10.66+$0.66
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7290.835$10.31+$1.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4870.935$7.68+$3.68
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8580.961$6.71+$0.71
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.755$6.02$0.98
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8330.795$5.72$0.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7220.955$5.29+$1.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2650.825$4.62+$3.14
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1850.395$4.27+$2.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 00:29Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.8$1.00
09-14 00:26Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?BUY0.064$1.00
09-14 00:03Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?BUY0.0489999982$1.00
09-13 00:55Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.94999962$1.00
09-13 00:26Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
09-13 00:12Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September?BUY0.1$1.00
09-12 00:14Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94599951$1.00
09-10 00:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.8729999511$1.00
09-10 00:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.8739999196$1.00
09-10 00:13Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.9149999908$1.00
09-10 00:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.8779993555$1.00
09-10 00:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.8789999051$1.00
09-10 00:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.8809999762$1.00
09-10 00:08Will Solana dip to $60 in September?BUY0.982999998$1.00
08-30 00:30Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00