0x4d59652f8c3b4cb2aee44a54adbeb59fb3631e2f
- Realised P&L
- $226.03
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 577
- Open portfolio
- $372.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded577
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$177.42at 0.188US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$81.26at 0.271US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$67.36at 0.196Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?
- +$47.72at 0.071Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?
- +$45.63at 0.288MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 00:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 00:26 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 00:03 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September? | BUY | 0.0489999982 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:55 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:26 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 00:14 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94599951 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.8729999511 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.8739999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9149999908 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.8779993555 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.8789999051 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.8809999762 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:08 | Will Solana dip to $60 in September? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 00:30 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |