PolyBot

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Traders

sergiok14

0x4cc7fe4d37a475eb18ab5e67f0c42ae5d67987bf

Realised P&L
$-85.96
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$205.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 10:22Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7039657131$48.00
09-30 10:20Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?SELL0.93$25.00
09-30 10:20Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$22.95
09-30 09:24Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1711177657$14.00
09-30 09:24Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6759999888$15.00
09-30 08:08Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.974$28.05
09-30 08:06Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
09-30 07:58Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.119999999$10.00
09-21 09:54NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-21 09:47Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.7099999517$10.00
09-20 09:25EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
09-20 06:55Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.0777501706$1.14
09-19 20:55Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.3412303593$5.00
09-19 20:45Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?SELL0.989$40.57
09-16 21:26Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999981$4.00