sergiok14
0x4cc7fe4d37a475eb18ab5e67f0c42ae5d67987bf
- Realised P&L
- $-85.96
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $205.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.90at 0.840Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.18at 0.975Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.989Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.02at 0.973Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$-4.08at 0.352Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:22 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7039657131 | $48.00 |
| 09-30 10:20 | Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 10:20 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $22.95 |
| 09-30 09:24 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1711177657 | $14.00 |
| 09-30 09:24 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6759999888 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 08:08 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $28.05 |
| 09-30 08:06 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 07:58 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 09:54 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 09:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 09:25 | EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0777501706 | $1.14 |
| 09-19 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3412303593 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 20:45 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $40.57 |
| 09-16 21:26 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999981 | $4.00 |