0x4c9ee88c68b4ae6ee67982b4228bf9970fb54449
0x4c9ee88c68b4ae6ee67982b4228bf9970fb54449
- Realised P&L
- $-86.47
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 328
- Open portfolio
- $265.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded328
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.09at 0.259LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
- +$10.08at 0.432Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
- +$8.70at 0.552Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$6.85at 0.424Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 30?
- +$5.57at 0.259Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:32 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | SELL | 0.068 | $0.24 |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.14 |
| 11-01 11:27 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.14 |
| 10-31 23:02 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.19 |
| 10-31 23:02 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.34 |
| 10-31 08:42 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 19:52 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099995886 | $1.88 |
| 10-30 18:54 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 10-30 06:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.929999988 | $4.64 |
| 10-29 23:01 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.85 |
| 10-29 22:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.939999995 | $7.50 |
| 10-29 21:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 09:29 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | BUY | 0.7799999899 | $4.62 |
| 10-29 09:06 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.975 | $2.30 |
| 10-29 09:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $7.78 |