PolyBot

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Traders

0x4c9ee88c68b4ae6ee67982b4228bf9970fb54449

0x4c9ee88c68b4ae6ee67982b4228bf9970fb54449

Realised P&L
$-86.47
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
328
Open portfolio
$265.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded328
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:32Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?SELL0.068$0.24
11-01 22:07Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?SELL0.08$0.14
11-01 11:27Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?SELL0.2$0.14
10-31 23:02Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$0.19
10-31 23:02Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$1.34
10-31 08:42Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-30 19:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9099995886$1.88
10-30 18:54Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000?BUY0.92$5.52
10-30 06:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.929999988$4.64
10-29 23:01Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.43$1.85
10-29 22:21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.939999995$7.50
10-29 21:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-29 09:29Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?BUY0.7799999899$4.62
10-29 09:06Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)SELL0.975$2.30
10-29 09:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.977$7.78