0x4BacC90e5008E3b28be88522B901E4AA71b45E79-1767908409746
0x4bacc90e5008e3b28be88522b901e4aa71b45e79
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $5.40M
- Markets traded
- 677
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded677
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.28at 0.231Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?
- +$90.18at 0.051Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$85.15at 0.037Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$80.47at 0.035Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$79.72at 0.634Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:03 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-17 20:33 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-17 20:03 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.30 |
| 09-17 20:03 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $15.55 |
| 09-17 18:35 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 18:25 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $14.08 |
| 09-17 14:50 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-17 14:50 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.59 | $56.06 |
| 09-17 13:18 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 09:18 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 09:17 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-17 09:14 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 08:40 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.58 |
| 09-17 03:37 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.9149999826 | $9.20 |
| 09-17 02:54 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.12 |