PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4BABdFf767e9D62D98df2A770571bBECE6A75FA0-1724210945866

0x4babdff767e9d62d98df2a770571bbece6a75fa0

Realised P&L
$4.0k
Volume
$145.8k
Markets traded
158
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded158
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4980.065$175.50$1.2k
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.3400.945$137.40+$87.89
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? · No0.4470.705$105.75+$38.75
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1000.182$91.25+$41.25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9540.903$90.35$5.05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7700.895$89.50+$12.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6700.161$88.28$280.52
Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026? · No0.5001.000$60.00+$30.00
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2700.185$46.25$21.25
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.2950.063$43.75$163.05
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.6500.105$42.00$218.00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4800.335$33.50$14.50
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.5800.145$29.00$87.00
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.4700.270$24.30$18.00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · No0.8000.485$24.25$15.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-20 14:02US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.69$34.50
03-20 14:01US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.57$114.00
03-19 14:19Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.27$2.70
03-19 07:08US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.69$34.50
03-19 07:04Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?SELL0.14$4.20
03-19 07:04Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?SELL0.039$3.90
03-18 09:58Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.642$32.10
03-18 09:57US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.62$107.88
03-18 04:36Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.645$129.00
03-18 04:27US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.91$91.00
03-18 04:24100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?SELL0.051$5.10
03-18 04:23US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.62$124.00
03-17 12:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.44$88.00
03-17 09:53Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.27$54.00
03-17 06:2650m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?SELL0.054$2.28