jpas
0x4b91427fb2055e21aff43eb5cbbd095009a51ec9
- Realised P&L
- $-160.81
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $117.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.81at 0.547Canadiens vs. Sabres
- +$61.29at 0.620Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$15.81at 0.240Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
- +$12.24at 0.290Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
- +$10.35at 0.592Spread: Bucks (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 16:50 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $48.72 |
| 05-21 16:49 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 16:47 | Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1730769179 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 16:46 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0889999985 | $50.00 |
| 05-16 15:33 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 05-11 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $0.66 |
| 05-07 15:58 | Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 19:01 | Canadiens vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 04-10 14:41 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 14:41 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.045 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 14:39 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 15:05 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1779999936 | $20.00 |
| 04-02 15:03 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3679999896 | $15.00 |
| 03-30 11:38 | Penguins vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |