PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jpas

0x4b91427fb2055e21aff43eb5cbbd095009a51ec9

Realised P&L
$-160.81
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$117.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.1710.080$46.70−$53.30
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0380.035$27.22−$2.76
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1780.205$23.09+$3.09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3680.502$20.48+$5.48
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$50.00
Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Pistons0.6400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$48.72
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 16:50Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.7699999997$48.72
05-21 16:49Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
05-21 16:47Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1730769179$25.00
05-21 16:46Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0889999985$50.00
05-16 15:33Cavaliers vs. PistonsBUY0.64$100.00
05-11 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
05-11 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.03$0.66
05-07 15:58Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)BUY0.64$10.00
05-04 19:01Canadiens vs. SabresBUY0.5399999981$100.00
04-10 14:41Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.059999989$5.00
04-10 14:41Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.045$5.00
04-10 14:39Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.289999964$5.00
04-02 15:05Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1779999936$20.00
04-02 15:03Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3679999896$15.00
03-30 11:38Penguins vs. IslandersBUY0.5399999903$10.00