PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kk819ddd

0x4b58088ad8a990d4779a4355660efdda9b15dd1a

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$196.3k
Markets traded
6,214
Open portfolio
$307.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,214
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? · No0.4301.000$9.99+$5.70
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? · No0.8700.998$9.98+$1.28
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? · No0.3100.995$9.95+$6.85
Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.6600.993$9.93+$3.33
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.2580.985$9.85+$7.26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · No0.7400.963$9.63+$2.23
Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · No0.8560.959$9.59+$1.03
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.0890.913$9.13+$8.24
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? · No0.6970.890$8.90+$1.94
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4600.830$8.30+$3.70
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8080.799$8.00−$0.09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9000.736$7.36−$1.64
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.4800.725$7.25+$2.45
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · No0.3200.655$6.55+$3.35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3200.655$6.55+$3.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 03:24Seahawks vs. ChiefsSELL0.5$53.02
08-25 08:34Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.51$2.55
08-25 08:34Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.51$2.55