PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cr9

0x4b518e1727c7b3b8ea16baa5bef3b0f3c3f0da79

Realised P&L
$424.52
Volume
$577.7k
Markets traded
1,047
Open portfolio
$763.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,047
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3280.945$302.40+$197.60
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.940$188.00+$54.00
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · No0.5650.780$156.00+$43.00
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.665$66.49−$1.50
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.025$36.75−$97.85
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$9.50−$1.50
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.870$4.35+$0.65
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$42.00
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5 · Over0.1900.000$0.00−$19.00
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Over0.5600.000$0.00−$56.00
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30? · No0.2080.000$0.00−$219.43
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$39.50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$36.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.3610.000$0.00−$36.10
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 01:29Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.999$43.95
09-30 14:41Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.997$15.25
09-29 02:49Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.975$9.75
09-22 19:28Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?SELL0.018$6.12
09-22 16:07Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?SELL0.026$5.33
09-22 16:07Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?SELL0.026$5.33
09-20 20:56Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.99$9.90
09-17 19:10Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)BUY0.66$6.60
09-17 19:04Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.011$0.13
09-17 19:03Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.011$0.44
09-17 19:03Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.005$0.26
09-12 22:31Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$70.40
08-22 19:26Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.94$9.39
08-14 12:01Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?BUY0.976$50.74
08-14 12:00Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?BUY0.9709261271$35.75