cr9
0x4b518e1727c7b3b8ea16baa5bef3b0f3c3f0da79
- Realised P&L
- $424.52
- Volume
- $577.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,047
- Open portfolio
- $763.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,047
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$911.52at 0.353Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
- +$675.87at 0.304Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$508.90at 0.184Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
- +$400.00at 0.500Tigers vs. Nationals
- +$317.05at 0.360Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:29 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.95 |
| 09-30 14:41 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $15.25 |
| 09-29 02:49 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 09-22 19:28 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | SELL | 0.018 | $6.12 |
| 09-22 16:07 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $5.33 |
| 09-22 16:07 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $5.33 |
| 09-20 20:56 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 19:10 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-17 19:04 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.13 |
| 09-17 19:03 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.44 |
| 09-17 19:03 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.26 |
| 09-12 22:31 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $70.40 |
| 08-22 19:26 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 08-14 12:01 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | BUY | 0.976 | $50.74 |
| 08-14 12:00 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? | BUY | 0.9709261271 | $35.75 |