PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4af2bd546e90ec973c3456b81d88ee1832f13e4e

0x4af2bd546e90ec973c3456b81d88ee1832f13e4e

Realised P&L
$-33.04
Volume
$26.9k
Markets traded
308
Open portfolio
$57.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded308
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 11:47Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$4.20
09-15 11:472026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.52$6.42
09-15 11:47Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?SELL0.052$1.04
09-15 11:46Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.28$3.70
09-15 11:46Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$5.99
09-15 11:45Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?SELL0.014$0.09
07-05 05:59Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.64$10.41
07-05 05:59Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$13.20
07-05 05:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.958$14.11
07-05 05:59Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?SELL0.84$14.89
07-05 05:58US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?SELL0.9$16.41
07-05 05:58Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?SELL0.88$17.09
07-05 05:58Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5494261644$34.56
07-05 05:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$45.24
07-05 05:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.88$72.07