Zarshka1
0x4a5dc168523262ed051c9d5689ab69e651d29ea3
- Realised P&L
- $230.44
- Volume
- $170.6k
- Markets traded
- 638
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded638
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$794.42at 0.117Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$451.34at 0.370Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$379.73at 0.409BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?
- +$293.75at 0.161Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$245.63at 0.298Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 07:07 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 07:07 | Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $106.56 |
| 07-06 07:07 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.21 | $93.24 |
| 07-04 07:15 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $99.90 |
| 07-04 07:15 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $119.88 |
| 07-04 07:14 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.31 | $103.23 |
| 07-04 07:14 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $119.88 |
| 07-04 07:14 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.13 | $101.01 |
| 07-04 07:13 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $145.00 |
| 06-29 05:51 | Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 05:50 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 06-29 05:49 | Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.34 | $57.80 |
| 06-29 05:47 | Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $46.40 |
| 06-29 05:46 | Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $70.00 |
| 06-29 05:45 | Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $46.80 |