PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4A22bD436c997C9a99315d9667bDFc1616d1d894-1772156260753

0x4a22bd436c997c9a99315d9667bdfc1616d1d894

Realised P&L
$-9.67
Volume
$35.7k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$35.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North? · Yes0.1140.071$15.53−$9.47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2600.175$13.46−$6.54
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.1220.022$3.89−$17.75
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.018$1.40−$7.40
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0280.021$0.77−$0.22
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0120.004$0.29−$0.71
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$29.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 12:52Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?BUY0.1143086387$25.00
06-12 07:27Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$1.00
06-11 14:56Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$5.00
06-11 14:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
06-11 14:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
05-21 09:35Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005999994$1.00
04-24 15:30Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?SELL0.6251702146$72.54
03-17 09:02Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.11$8.80
03-12 09:37Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?SELL0.051$1.02
03-11 03:44Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0120000002$1.00
03-09 15:41Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$10.00
03-09 15:40Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$10.00
03-09 15:40Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.006$1.00
03-08 17:36Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?BUY0.32$5.00
03-08 17:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.02$1.00