0x4A22bD436c997C9a99315d9667bDFc1616d1d894-1772156260753
0x4a22bd436c997c9a99315d9667bdfc1616d1d894
- Realised P&L
- $-9.67
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $35.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.071 | $15.53 | −$9.47 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.175 | $13.46 | −$6.54 |
| Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.022 | $3.89 | −$17.75 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.018 | $1.40 | −$7.40 |
| Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.021 | $0.77 | −$0.22 |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.73at 0.231Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$18.00at 0.357US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$7.34at 0.090Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
- +$1.68at 0.270Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$0.02at 0.050Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:52 | Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North? | BUY | 0.1143086387 | $25.00 |
| 06-12 07:27 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 14:56 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 14:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 14:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 09:35 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 04-24 15:30 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.6251702146 | $72.54 |
| 03-17 09:02 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $8.80 |
| 03-12 09:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.02 |
| 03-11 03:44 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 03-09 15:41 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 15:40 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 15:40 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 17:36 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 17:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |