rx8549o867549
0x4a1f13f733dae181838b216d238e7ea3de891a9f
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $3.89M
- Markets traded
- 5,246
- Open portfolio
- $191.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,246
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.85at 0.042Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?
- +$126.55at 0.192Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?
- +$119.83at 0.761Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
- +$108.44at 0.061QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
- +$94.68at 0.419Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 18:34 | Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.33 |
| 08-24 07:37 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.065 | $0.81 |
| 08-17 08:39 | Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.095 | $0.91 |
| 08-15 22:54 | Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | SELL | 0.104 | $0.66 |
| 08-15 12:41 | Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.69 |
| 08-15 09:10 | Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.45 |
| 08-15 09:06 | QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.66 |
| 08-15 00:18 | Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.393 | $2.94 |
| 08-14 19:26 | Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-14 13:26 | Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.01 |
| 08-14 13:13 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 08-14 13:09 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.04 |
| 08-14 13:04 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 08-13 23:53 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.57 |
| 08-13 02:34 | Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.11 |