3zekiel
0x49b16a5f9e86796c9312c085590ead3ea292c280
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $213.7k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.922 | 0.941 | $718.41 | +$13.74 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.816 | 0.810 | $686.88 | −$5.42 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.885 | 0.953 | $381.00 | +$26.90 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.890 | 0.960 | $96.79 | +$6.95 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · No | 0.945 | 0.982 | $12.58 | +$0.47 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75? · Yes | 0.958 | 0.983 | $8.83 | +$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$758.26at 0.950Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
- +$380.33at 0.278Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$199.30at 0.270Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$160.77at 0.870Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
- +$137.85at 0.964Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:51 | GTA VI released by November 30? | SELL | 0.031 | $3.07 |
| 10-31 15:17 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.0399409 | $3.99 |
| 09-18 08:07 | Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? | BUY | 0.7021676053 | $104.74 |
| 09-17 07:00 | Will there be at least 3500+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0400264312 | $3.29 |
| 09-17 06:59 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? | SELL | 0.853 | $85.30 |
| 09-10 06:44 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | SELL | 0.946 | $9.10 |
| 09-09 09:51 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 08-25 09:56 | GTA VI released by November 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 08-22 10:45 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 08-22 10:42 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 08-21 20:58 | GTA VI released by October 31? | SELL | 0.967 | $74.01 |
| 08-15 19:18 | Will there be at least 2700 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.16 |
| 08-15 12:52 | Will there be at least 2750 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.08 |
| 08-15 07:56 | Will there be at least 2750 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $12.40 |
| 08-14 21:42 | Will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.37 |