0x4974835c6ff51183c22bc112beAe18210dda130c-1772716807494
0x4974835c6ff51183c22bc112beae18210dda130c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $169.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $596.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.021 | $394.78 | −$105.20 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.034 | $72.12 | −$327.88 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.045 | $65.94 | −$34.06 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.019 | $63.74 | −$136.26 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.99 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$799.30 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 19:48 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.0253186677 | $100.00 |
| 05-24 19:47 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0167453368 | $100.00 |
| 05-24 19:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $19.50 |
| 05-24 19:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0159610081 | $80.50 |
| 05-24 19:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999994 | $100.00 |
| 03-20 20:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | BUY | 0.0083526907 | $100.00 |
| 03-20 20:48 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0899999996 | $200.00 |
| 03-12 18:38 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0599790371 | $200.00 |
| 03-08 08:04 | Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0081984327 | $99.38 |
| 03-07 17:45 | Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0100059713 | $100.00 |
| 03-07 01:35 | Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0184011304 | $200.00 |
| 03-06 21:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0158920936 | $200.00 |
| 03-06 10:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $300.00 |
| 03-06 01:51 | Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0088557821 | $100.00 |
| 03-05 20:42 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0259639574 | $500.00 |