PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4974835c6ff51183c22bc112beAe18210dda130c-1772716807494

0x4974835c6ff51183c22bc112beae18210dda130c

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$169.2k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$596.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.021$394.78$105.20
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1860.034$72.12$327.88
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0690.045$65.94$34.06
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0610.019$63.74$136.26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$99.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$200.00
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$200.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$199.99
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$799.30
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$300.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-24 19:48Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0253186677$100.00
05-24 19:47Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0167453368$100.00
05-24 19:46Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.015$19.50
05-24 19:46Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0159610081$80.50
05-24 19:44Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0689999994$100.00
03-20 20:51Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?BUY0.0083526907$100.00
03-20 20:48Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?BUY0.0899999996$200.00
03-12 18:38Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.0599790371$200.00
03-08 08:04Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.0081984327$99.38
03-07 17:45Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.0100059713$100.00
03-07 01:35Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.0184011304$200.00
03-06 21:03Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.0158920936$200.00
03-06 10:17Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$300.00
03-06 01:51Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.0088557821$100.00
03-05 20:42Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0259639574$500.00