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Traders

Gumper

0x4904c7ffd87ab686568d71c7b4f5d68586ea65f2

Realised P&L
$213.86
Volume
$35.5k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2830.886$313.28+$213.28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0420.090$215.48+$115.48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0550.146$141.79+$88.83
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1170.135$137.72+$17.72
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.2420.960$130.80+$97.75
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · No0.3100.735$118.55+$68.55
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1150.075$42.56$22.44
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2580.034$27.29$182.71
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1870.209$22.41+$2.41
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.1000.017$3.30$16.70
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? · Yes0.7400.460$0.92$0.56
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$30.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$79.87
Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? · Yes0.4070.000$0.00$20.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 13:55Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1869999935$20.00
05-22 13:54Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.125$20.00
05-20 17:59Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.1$20.00
05-20 17:55Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?BUY0.2409999913$15.00
05-19 11:31Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?SELL0.8476353363$111.01
05-12 08:28Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.1613048554$20.00
05-11 10:20Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
05-09 13:36Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
05-07 08:03Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?SELL0.8183204762$171.85
05-05 08:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?BUY0.125$31.76
04-29 13:30Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael JodarBUY0.16$10.00
04-29 13:28Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?SELL0.7415123771$43.73
04-28 07:53Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?BUY0.3399999925$20.92
04-22 08:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.016$21.49
04-16 08:26Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1109999988$79.87