Gumper
0x4904c7ffd87ab686568d71c7b4f5d68586ea65f2
- Realised P&L
- $213.86
- Volume
- $35.5k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$177.14at 0.070Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$83.67at 0.345Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
- +$51.07at 0.481Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$48.82at 0.170Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$48.76at 0.170Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 13:55 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1869999935 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 13:54 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.125 | $20.00 |
| 05-20 17:59 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 05-20 17:55 | Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.2409999913 | $15.00 |
| 05-19 11:31 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.8476353363 | $111.01 |
| 05-12 08:28 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.1613048554 | $20.00 |
| 05-11 10:20 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-09 13:36 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 08:03 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.8183204762 | $171.85 |
| 05-05 08:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | BUY | 0.125 | $31.76 |
| 04-29 13:30 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 13:28 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.7415123771 | $43.73 |
| 04-28 07:53 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.3399999925 | $20.92 |
| 04-22 08:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.016 | $21.49 |
| 04-16 08:26 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1109999988 | $79.87 |