heresjimmy
0x48afe8fbde091ff3e616901dc92ef20862c289cc
- Realised P&L
- $111.1k
- Volume
- $2.42M
- Markets traded
- 372
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded372
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.8kat 0.602Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?
- +$17.0kat 0.302US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$10.5kat 0.248Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$7.9kat 0.282Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$7.6kat 0.172Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 23:51 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $128.00 |
| 06-05 22:58 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.6k |
| 06-05 22:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $680.00 |
| 06-05 22:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.1k |
| 06-05 22:30 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.65 | $707.85 |
| 06-05 22:29 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.4k |
| 06-05 22:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.8271842483 | $3.9k |
| 04-08 17:30 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.8075620574 | $338.67 |
| 04-03 16:22 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | SELL | 0.09098468 | $1.8k |
| 04-03 12:24 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.1k |
| 04-03 12:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $900.00 |
| 04-03 12:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $900.00 |
| 04-03 09:51 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.26 |
| 03-29 05:26 | Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $65.77 |
| 03-06 15:03 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2579918946 | $39.15 |