PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mantis89

0x48a773405ce7d6f030ad4e693d4496004b2975bd

Realised P&L
$-367.62
Volume
$64.7k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$24.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.5900.967$8.19+$3.19
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? · Yes0.7801.000$7.69+$1.69
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.8001.000$6.25+$1.25
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · Yes0.2700.180$2.00−$1.00
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.033$0.20−$4.80
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1900.012$0.13−$1.87
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$81.60
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$22.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 19? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$5.00
Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.99
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? · Yes0.5120.000$0.00−$110.00
Ethereum all time high by March 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 04:18Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
05-05 04:17Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
05-05 04:17Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?BUY0.269999937$3.00
05-05 04:14Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999395$5.00
05-05 04:13Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?BUY0.7799999844$6.00
05-05 04:13Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.8$5.00
09-18 17:47Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.8299999979$40.00
09-18 17:46Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?BUY0.9799999628$20.00
09-18 17:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 19?BUY0.86$5.00
09-18 17:43Will Solana reach $300 in September?BUY0.8699999983$10.00
09-18 17:42Yankees vs. OriolesBUY0.6599999842$10.00
09-18 17:42Will Sporting CP win on 2025-09-18?BUY0.91$10.00
09-18 17:42Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
09-18 17:41Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
09-18 17:40Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?BUY0.289999964$5.00