Mantis89
0x48a773405ce7d6f030ad4e693d4496004b2975bd
- Realised P&L
- $-367.62
- Volume
- $64.7k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $24.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.64at 0.770Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?
- +$92.42at 0.812Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?
- +$71.67at 0.906Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
- +$66.95at 0.550Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$47.46at 0.280Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 04:18 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 04:17 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 04:17 | Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 05-05 04:14 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999395 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 04:13 | Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? | BUY | 0.7799999844 | $6.00 |
| 05-05 04:13 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:47 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.8299999979 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 17:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September? | BUY | 0.9799999628 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 17:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 19? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:43 | Will Solana reach $300 in September? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:42 | Yankees vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:42 | Will Sporting CP win on 2025-09-18? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:42 | Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:41 | Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:40 | Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |