PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x48960fc2009258cd28bc4859d6915d485c8570da

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$77.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4? · Yes0.9600.961$21.01+$0.01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.6900.630$18.26−$1.74
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.8810.855$9.70−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5? · Yes0.0610.089$8.67+$2.67
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes0.9250.920$5.97−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5? · No0.6300.685$5.44+$0.44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3700.365$4.93−$0.07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3700.367$1.99−$0.01
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3? · Yes0.8900.679$1.53−$0.47

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 11:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
10-04 11:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
10-04 11:17Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5?BUY0.064$1.00
10-04 11:17Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5?BUY0.0611418417$5.00
10-04 11:12Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999821$20.00
10-04 11:09Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?BUY0.96$10.00
10-04 10:53Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?BUY0.96$11.00
10-04 10:23Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?BUY0.8899999555$2.00
10-04 10:22Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?BUY0.95$1.00
10-04 10:21Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?BUY0.9205069057$5.00
10-04 10:15Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8812753642$10.00
10-04 10:12Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5?BUY0.629999995$5.00