0x48960fc2009258cd28bc4859d6915d485c8570da
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $77.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.961 | $21.01 | +$0.01 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.630 | $18.26 | −$1.74 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.881 | 0.855 | $9.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.089 | $8.67 | +$2.67 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.925 | 0.920 | $5.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5? · No | 0.630 | 0.685 | $5.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.365 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.370 | 0.367 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.679 | $1.53 | −$0.47 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 11:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 11:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0611418417 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 11:12 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 11:09 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 10:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.00 |
| 10-04 10:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 10:22 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 10:21 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.9205069057 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 10:15 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8812753642 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |