Gxcho
0x4839776872a281ab3a88d42d00b6f436ff80775a
- Realised P&L
- $-148.59
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $278.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.27at 0.270Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$77.90at 0.595Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$35.69at 0.580Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$32.10at 0.493Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$11.35at 0.520Brown University shooter arrested by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 20:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.129999999 | $12.00 |
| 09-14 16:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.75 |
| 09-14 09:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.52 | $57.20 |
| 09-14 08:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 09-11 15:20 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-11 15:01 | Will New Zealand win in regulation? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 09-11 13:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 08:37 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $22.00 |
| 09-02 18:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.026 | $13.00 |
| 09-02 18:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.56 | $36.40 |
| 09-02 18:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $25.80 |
| 08-19 15:51 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.48 | $52.80 |
| 08-19 15:48 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.152 | $19.76 |