CR.DON7
0x47e13c88f7679b0dbb6939ca4e140deb2407e621
- Realised P&L
- $-151.98
- Volume
- $92.7k
- Markets traded
- 335
- Open portfolio
- $967.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded335
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$274.15at 0.231Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
- +$110.02at 0.393Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$99.55at 0.460MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$93.15at 0.180Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$83.79at 0.506Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 15:13 | Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.8892508075 | $30.00 |
| 08-26 12:08 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.87 | $21.75 |
| 08-03 20:41 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July? | BUY | 0.299 | $14.95 |
| 08-03 01:52 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.402 | $40.20 |
| 08-02 19:53 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $209.45 |
| 08-02 19:10 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.874 | $22.72 |
| 08-02 19:09 | Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.8754054054 | $64.78 |
| 08-02 01:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8580558539 | $63.91 |
| 08-01 15:18 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.62 | $9.54 |
| 08-01 15:18 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.13 |
| 08-01 15:17 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.982 | $24.55 |
| 08-01 14:58 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | SELL | 0.885 | $16.97 |
| 08-01 14:58 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $17.49 |
| 08-01 14:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $3.00 |