brokemane
0x47dc47ddec224fef13c504edb2e7e1a86a8ec27e
- Realised P&L
- $682.85
- Volume
- $194.0k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.410Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
- +$725.46at 0.548Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
- +$679.57at 0.515Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
- +$475.65at 0.633Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
- +$451.33at 0.619Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:14 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 06:14 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5467196786 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 18:49 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.2561490683 | $41.65 |
| 09-13 18:28 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.08 | $15.44 |
| 09-13 17:02 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.3564356379 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 21:45 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.5566600371 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 21:42 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 15:38 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 15:38 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 15:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.17 | $22.67 |
| 09-11 15:37 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5812807825 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 15:37 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.19 | $12.05 |
| 09-09 19:38 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 19:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.52 | $116.42 |
| 09-09 19:36 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | SELL | 0.2402791736 | $43.03 |