PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

brokemane

0x47dc47ddec224fef13c504edb2e7e1a86a8ec27e

Realised P&L
$682.85
Volume
$194.0k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5730.765$1.0k+$251.24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3660.510$837.18+$237.18
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.4440.665$524.03+$174.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7710.855$342.01+$33.40
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5620.855$304.27+$104.27
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5640.855$303.20+$103.20
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.3370.555$247.26+$97.26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.775$238.46+$38.46
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4180.325$233.01$66.99
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · Yes0.4720.730$231.87+$81.87
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.5070.525$207.20+$7.20
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · No0.7890.935$187.01+$29.08
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.7280.845$174.22+$24.22
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.6820.735$172.48+$12.48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7000.835$119.29+$19.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 06:14Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5499999995$50.00
09-18 06:14Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5467196786$50.00
09-13 18:49Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.2561490683$41.65
09-13 18:28Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.08$15.44
09-13 17:02Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.3564356379$10.00
09-12 21:45Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.5566600371$50.00
09-12 21:42Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.1899999998$50.00
09-11 15:38Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.6499999994$50.00
09-11 15:38Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
09-11 15:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.17$22.67
09-11 15:37Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.5812807825$20.00
09-11 15:37Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.19$12.05
09-09 19:38Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2199999998$20.00
09-09 19:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.52$116.42
09-09 19:36Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?SELL0.2402791736$43.03