PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shin2356s

0x4793b0573331b0572c19128ae3c1897abe1d61d8

Realised P&L
$732.00
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$272.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.982$107.13+$2.13
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9210.958$103.93+$3.96
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.959$11.92+$1.72
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9130.962$10.53+$0.53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · No0.9950.993$9.97$0.03
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.985$9.85+$0.23
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? · Yes0.0020.019$9.75+$8.75
SBF released from custody in 2026? · No0.8900.976$5.48+$0.48
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7000.920$2.63+$0.63
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Nothing0.9300.969$1.04+$0.04
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25$0.75
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Down0.6800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 09:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.994$1.00
08-06 09:09Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.997$10.02
08-06 08:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.6839999261$1.00
07-29 04:31Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.699999755$2.00
07-29 04:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.52$1.00
06-22 10:34Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9339999944$2.00
06-07 09:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.6799998912$1.00
05-29 01:38Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.889999911$1.00
05-26 00:48MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
05-19 01:33Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETBUY0.91$1.00
05-03 02:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.9849999967$3.00
04-29 03:24Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY0.8699992344$1.00
04-29 03:24Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?BUY0.9089999264$1.00
04-29 03:24Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-28?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
04-29 03:23Ducks vs. OilersBUY0.92$1.00