PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x477336d2c5e2974d335c9e35565940d8f012322c

Realised P&L
$-214.57
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$160.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · No0.5291.000$25.00+$11.78
Tigres de la UANL vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.3251.000$16.51+$11.14
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3901.000$15.38+$9.38
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.6031.000$14.85+$5.89
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6660.450$7.55$3.62
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1930.060$7.33$16.30
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.4500.855$5.63+$2.67
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · No0.3300.815$5.03+$2.99
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? · No0.8301.000$5.00+$0.85
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? · No0.5401.000$5.00+$2.30
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first? · Ceasefire0.6901.000$5.00+$1.55
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30? · No0.6101.000$5.00+$1.95
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · No0.8701.000$5.00+$0.65
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 26? · No0.6801.000$5.00+$1.60
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 27? · No0.6701.000$5.00+$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-26 08:39Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 28?BUY0.018$1.65
03-26 01:54US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.52$2.97
03-26 01:54US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.87$4.35
03-26 00:21José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?BUY0.018$2.58
03-26 00:09Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?BUY0.015$1.33
03-25 16:50Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?BUY0.69$3.45
03-25 16:13Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?BUY0.4$2.80
03-25 10:18Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.8$4.00
03-25 10:16North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)BUY0.02$2.09
03-25 00:03North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)BUY0.02$2.34
03-24 12:32SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? BUY0.1344989339$1.89
03-24 12:32Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.39$2.93
03-24 12:32Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.45$2.97
03-24 12:08Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31?BUY0.017$2.32
03-24 12:07100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?BUY0.0199293289$2.29