0x477336d2c5e2974d335c9e35565940d8f012322c
- Realised P&L
- $-214.57
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $160.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.15at 0.594Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 50 by April 30?
- +$4.70at 0.448Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$4.43at 0.531Solana Up or Down - March 23, 7PM ET
- +$4.43at 0.531Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5PM ET
- +$4.43at 0.531Solana Up or Down - March 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 08:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 28? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.65 |
| 03-26 01:54 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.97 |
| 03-26 01:54 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 03-26 00:21 | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.58 |
| 03-26 00:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.33 |
| 03-25 16:50 | Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 03-25 16:13 | Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.80 |
| 03-25 10:18 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 03-25 10:16 | North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Connecticut Huskies (W) | BUY | 0.02 | $2.09 |
| 03-25 00:03 | North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Connecticut Huskies (W) | BUY | 0.02 | $2.34 |
| 03-24 12:32 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1344989339 | $1.89 |
| 03-24 12:32 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.93 |
| 03-24 12:32 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.97 |
| 03-24 12:08 | Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by March 31? | BUY | 0.017 | $2.32 |
| 03-24 12:07 | 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31? | BUY | 0.0199293289 | $2.29 |