PolyBot

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Traders

Plexity

0x477099ea5d4b1eaf551ea42a56801a69d5a07a45

Realised P&L
$119.59
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$830.05

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? · No0.8720.981$317.84+$35.46
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · No0.7090.845$120.83+$19.49
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? · No0.9200.926$55.61+$0.39
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? · No0.8240.945$52.96+$6.78
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8900.989$39.54+$3.94
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.8450.960$28.79+$3.44
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat? · Yes0.7800.935$28.05+$4.65
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? · No0.7830.915$27.45+$3.95
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes0.2490.155$22.16$13.52
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? · No0.6570.905$18.10+$4.95
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.8980.931$13.96+$0.49
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.7900.912$13.68+$1.83
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · No0.6330.878$13.17+$3.68
Vanta IPO before 2027? · No0.7800.957$9.57+$1.77
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? · No0.8720.948$9.47+$0.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:44Vanta IPO before 2027?BUY0.78$3.90
09-10 06:59Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?BUY0.872$4.36
09-09 04:06Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.46$7.07
09-06 23:05Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?SELL0.037$0.55
09-06 23:05Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?SELL0.962$14.43
09-04 10:11Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.71$71.00
09-04 10:11Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.708125$70.81
09-04 05:41Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?BUY0.92$27.61
08-31 12:32Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?BUY0.883$13.25
08-19 15:17Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?BUY0.835$8.35
08-13 12:22Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.885$4.42
08-09 23:24Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?BUY0.871$8.71
08-08 14:57Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.89$17.80
08-07 04:23Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.61$3.05
08-07 04:14Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.79$3.95