Plexity
0x477099ea5d4b1eaf551ea42a56801a69d5a07a45
- Realised P&L
- $119.59
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $830.05
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.93at 0.310Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$58.55at 0.510China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- +$56.12at 0.719Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$31.62at 0.791Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.97at 0.440Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:44 | Vanta IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-10 06:59 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.872 | $4.36 |
| 09-09 04:06 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.46 | $7.07 |
| 09-06 23:05 | Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.55 |
| 09-06 23:05 | Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $14.43 |
| 09-04 10:11 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 09-04 10:11 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.708125 | $70.81 |
| 09-04 05:41 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.61 |
| 08-31 12:32 | Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | BUY | 0.883 | $13.25 |
| 08-19 15:17 | Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.835 | $8.35 |
| 08-13 12:22 | Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.885 | $4.42 |
| 08-09 23:24 | Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | BUY | 0.871 | $8.71 |
| 08-08 14:57 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 08-07 04:23 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-07 04:14 | Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |