PolyBot

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Traders

0x475691cd54600719e626a4386814ac72fd49a006

0x475691cd54600719e626a4386814ac72fd49a006

Realised P&L
$861.30
Volume
$21.7k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5240.195$707.53−$1.2k
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2660.170$565.26−$319.88
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.5600.775$276.79+$76.79
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.165$235.71−$564.28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.5600.665$213.87+$33.87
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.6810.815$119.69+$19.69
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3500.165$76.75−$86.25
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00−$100.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$100.00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2610.000$0.00−$659.99
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3850.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5797101449$100.00
09-25 21:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5365126645$80.00
09-16 21:09Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2699999995$100.00
09-12 22:18Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1695709852$100.00
09-12 11:26Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.6809474837$100.00
08-30 18:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5599999999$800.00
08-20 22:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.8299999993$200.00
08-20 22:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.559999999$200.00
08-20 22:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.75$300.00
08-10 16:49Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2710000015$50.00
08-08 19:24Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.222340495$100.00
08-08 19:24Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2195524134$10.00
08-07 10:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4799999983$100.00
08-05 12:51Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2575907195$100.00
08-05 12:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4599999995$200.00