0x475691cd54600719e626a4386814ac72fd49a006
0x475691cd54600719e626a4386814ac72fd49a006
- Realised P&L
- $861.30
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.557Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$267.30at 0.917Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$100.00at 0.750US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$42.28at 0.922Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
- +$40.96at 0.830US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5797101449 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 21:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5365126645 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 21:09 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 22:18 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1695709852 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 11:26 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.6809474837 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 18:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $800.00 |
| 08-20 22:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-20 22:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999999 | $200.00 |
| 08-20 22:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $300.00 |
| 08-10 16:49 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2710000015 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 19:24 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.222340495 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 19:24 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2195524134 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 10:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 12:51 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2575907195 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 12:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999995 | $200.00 |