0x4734CF8aBFA7Ad6Cf3cD6B6e12130946B4a60979-1764692036152
0x4734cf8abfa7ad6cf3cd6b6e12130946b4a60979
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $79.9k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $652.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.112Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?
- +$528.93at 0.118Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
- +$239.96at 0.439Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
- +$235.92at 0.592Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
- +$166.12at 0.064Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 01:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.27 | $111.78 |
| 08-30 01:25 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 08-30 01:23 | Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0060647851 | $3.36 |
| 08-30 01:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.27 | $162.00 |
| 06-29 20:17 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.024 | $12.00 |
| 06-29 11:36 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $11.00 |
| 06-26 13:34 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 13:34 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.17 |
| 06-26 11:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.26 | $22.86 |
| 06-26 11:42 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting? | SELL | 0.91 | $110.21 |
| 06-26 11:41 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting? | SELL | 0.92 | $60.74 |
| 06-26 11:41 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.68 |
| 06-26 11:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2741477713 | $49.57 |
| 06-26 11:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.174 | $61.84 |
| 06-23 16:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0106630444 | $9.60 |