PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4734CF8aBFA7Ad6Cf3cD6B6e12130946B4a60979-1764692036152

0x4734cf8abfa7ad6cf3cd6b6e12130946b4a60979

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$79.9k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$652.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2700.565$572.91+$299.13
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · No0.1400.455$45.50+$31.50
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.025$28.87+$19.73
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0290.004$2.95$21.22
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.060$2.16+$1.55
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$5.85
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.99
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$10.26
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$5.33
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the December meeting? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00$104.72
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$4.53
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$6.60
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$28.80
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the December meeting? · No0.2670.000$0.00$5.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 01:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.27$111.78
08-30 01:25Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?BUY0.14$14.00
08-30 01:23Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0060647851$3.36
08-30 01:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.27$162.00
06-29 20:17Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.024$12.00
06-29 11:36Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.011$11.00
06-26 13:34Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.03$1.00
06-26 13:34Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$2.17
06-26 11:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.26$22.86
06-26 11:42Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?SELL0.91$110.21
06-26 11:41Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?SELL0.92$60.74
06-26 11:41Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?SELL0.93$18.68
06-26 11:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.2741477713$49.57
06-26 11:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.174$61.84
06-23 16:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.0106630444$9.60