0x46f7bab597b69fa846c3c89e0f8803d7423e0f92
0x46f7bab597b69fa846c3c89e0f8803d7423e0f92
- Realised P&L
- $55.89
- Volume
- $302.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,343
- Open portfolio
- $22.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,343
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.072Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$737.26at 0.001Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics
- +$278.13at 0.106Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5
- +$252.52at 0.256Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
- +$87.75at 0.102France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 04:46 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4317110782 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.0319148936 | $1.50 |
| 09-23 19:51 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.4425755167 | $2.78 |
| 09-19 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1044303751 | $1.50 |
| 09-19 14:25 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.48 |
| 09-19 14:24 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.46 |
| 09-19 07:44 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.43 |
| 09-18 17:05 | Will SPD win at least 16% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.946 | $1.59 |
| 09-18 08:13 | Will SPD win at least 16% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.8899999407 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:59 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:51 | Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.53 |
| 09-16 23:51 | Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9289999647 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 23:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.50 |