PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

20faj2

0x4658515faa6bddcba47129450ed4766831444131

Realised P&L
$-4.7k
Volume
$5.43M
Markets traded
3,753
Open portfolio
$18.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,753
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9390.861$8.0k$731.36
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres0.5640.905$5.6k+$2.1k
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers0.6200.615$2.0k$16.13
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners · Minnesota Twins0.4200.315$1.1k$366.97
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.3900.380$621.16$16.35
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5 · Over0.3400.315$463.24$36.76
Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong · Jesper de Jong0.5100.500$436.69$8.73
Livesport Prague Open: Eva Lys vs Tereza Valentova · Tereza Valentova0.5940.500$164.29$30.80
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 · Under0.4600.320$150.73$65.95
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3300.205$105.99$64.63
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves0.5600.545$68.13$1.88
Nottingham Open: Lois Boisson vs Dayana Yastremska · Dayana Yastremska0.7700.500$66.63$35.98
Nottingham Open: Harriet Dart vs Katie Boulter · Katie Boulter0.7000.500$37.24$14.90
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0310.009$21.05$55.71
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics · Detroit Tigers0.5201.000$11.98+$5.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:01San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.56$2.0k
07-26 01:56Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.59$750.00
07-26 01:53Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5BUY0.84$450.00
07-25 23:00Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.52$750.00
07-25 22:35Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.61$750.00
07-25 22:35Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.61$737.90
07-25 13:31New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5BUY0.61$500.00
07-25 12:31Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5BUY0.28$337.50
07-25 12:31Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5BUY0.4977185185$335.96
07-25 12:31Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5BUY0.69$271.17
07-22 16:42Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.54$750.00
07-21 22:26Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5BUY0.54$16.20
07-21 10:43Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de JongBUY0.51$445.42
07-21 09:08Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?BUY0.5$490.19
07-20 10:16Livesport Prague Open: Eva Lys vs Tereza ValentovaBUY0.51$85.04