0x464125C0f9450723d96058d418E707bC32F3f6fb-1776972870484
0x464125c0f9450723d96058d418e707bc32f3f6fb
- Realised P&L
- $-192.02
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $87.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.10at 0.220 World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
- +$6.40at 0.360Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?
- +$3.17at 0.240Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 02:22 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $7.44 |
| 06-11 02:18 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 06-11 02:12 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 06-11 02:11 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $2.05 |
| 06-11 02:01 | Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.22 | $9.90 |
| 06-11 02:00 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 06-11 01:58 | World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.00 |
| 06-10 02:35 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0773831992 | $24.57 |
| 06-10 02:30 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3769999717 | $7.00 |
| 05-22 03:08 | Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 03:04 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 23:38 | Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0165274481 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 22:57 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0569999984 | $32.01 |
| 05-19 22:56 | Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 2.3% and 2.6%? | BUY | 0.2996897059 | $13.00 |
| 04-24 14:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1064162606 | $40.00 |