arenzoar
0x4600c3cc281112d4e615d1b75b9586ed03ef78aa
- Realised P&L
- $467.37
- Volume
- $68.6k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $496.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$987.09at 0.389GTA VI released before June 2026?
- +$720.78at 0.188Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$475.23at 0.598Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
- +$457.31at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$129.24at 0.722Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 09:14 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.009201706 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 09:13 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0419999987 | $30.00 |
| 08-17 09:12 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1569999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 20:56 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4169999977 | $50.00 |
| 07-20 20:53 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1059999954 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 20:52 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3489999905 | $15.00 |
| 07-20 20:52 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3279999876 | $15.00 |
| 07-20 20:48 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0419999916 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 20:48 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0419999958 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 20:48 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 20:48 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.018 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 22:18 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0049980008 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 08:06 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.1843439928 | $24.67 |
| 07-17 08:03 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 21:55 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0325179731 | $15.00 |