PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arenzoar

0x4600c3cc281112d4e615d1b75b9586ed03ef78aa

Realised P&L
$467.37
Volume
$68.6k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$496.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1740.212$232.28+$42.28
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3390.560$103.62+$40.89
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4170.512$61.45+$11.45
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1160.038$22.31$45.19
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.004$17.50$7.49
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0400.009$15.98$59.01
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0420.021$15.36$14.64
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0090.005$11.95$8.04
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · Yes0.2500.085$8.84$17.16
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2360.022$6.53$63.47
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1060.004$0.75$19.25
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$4.83
Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$23.00
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.0810.000$0.00$29.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 09:14Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.009201706$20.00
08-17 09:13Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0419999987$30.00
08-17 09:12Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1569999987$100.00
07-20 20:56Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4169999977$50.00
07-20 20:53Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1059999954$20.00
07-20 20:52Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3489999905$15.00
07-20 20:52Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3279999876$15.00
07-20 20:48Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0419999916$5.00
07-20 20:48Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0419999958$10.00
07-20 20:48Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$10.00
07-20 20:48Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.018$15.00
07-19 22:18Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0049980008$15.00
07-17 08:06Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.1843439928$24.67
07-17 08:03Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.2$20.00
07-15 21:55Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0325179731$15.00