Acurracy26
0x45fbefe6d5fa8140aba6b22c41c1cdb220a0f9c0
- Realised P&L
- $2.88
- Volume
- $53.9k
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $191.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.50at 0.317Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$76.23at 0.531Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
- +$67.93at 0.144Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$52.03at 0.284Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$43.23at 0.035Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:36 | Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $26.18 |
| 09-14 17:33 | Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $28.14 |
| 09-14 12:26 | Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $119.27 |
| 09-14 12:25 | Will Taylor Fritz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $37.80 |
| 09-14 12:07 | Will Daniil Medvedev Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 07-06 00:26 | Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.04 |
| 06-09 03:10 | Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.08 |
| 06-09 03:10 | Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.04 |
| 06-05 15:20 | Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 06-03 13:16 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.116 | $40.60 |
| 06-02 00:41 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.409 | $20.45 |
| 05-28 18:43 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.195 | $5.07 |
| 05-28 18:40 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 18:03 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.55 |
| 05-26 18:03 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.33 |