merch
0x45e856f0023259664606b6c370e82d072b24cc6c
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $362.3k
- Markets traded
- 334
- Open portfolio
- $10.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded334
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.352Will Trump pick Kash Patel for Director of the FBI?
- +$926.52at 0.594Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$868.21at 0.752Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- +$680.25at 0.824Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
- +$575.07at 0.814Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 04:10 | Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $74.25 |
| 10-25 22:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.36 | $55.80 |
| 10-25 22:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.369 | $332.10 |
| 10-24 16:49 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $204.02 |
| 10-15 15:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.72 | $359.28 |
| 10-13 17:14 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.91 | $819.00 |
| 10-13 16:26 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $470.80 |
| 10-13 16:25 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $591.50 |
| 10-13 16:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $252.00 |
| 10-13 16:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.865 | $605.50 |
| 10-12 05:05 | Cowboys vs. Packers | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 04:42 | Saints vs. Giants | BUY | 0.49 | $343.00 |
| 10-11 13:35 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.97 | $298.76 |
| 10-11 13:34 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.949 | $27.52 |
| 10-11 13:31 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9311997559 | $419.55 |