felipaper
0x45cf3fa1651640e7fa9e928eea246f6dec942516
- Realised P&L
- $-281.88
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $117.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs A Great Chaos (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · A Great Chaos | 0.510 | 0.415 | $61.03 | −$13.97 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.115 | $55.99 | −$129.01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$137.74 |
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) · Procyon Gaming | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs · Procyon Gaming | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.50 |
| Map Handicap: ex-Keyd Stars (-1.5) vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (+1.5) · QUINTESSÊNCIA | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Counter-Strike: regain vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs · regain | 0.512 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.75at 0.542Counter-Strike: Sangal vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B
- +$-3.12at 0.492Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:15 | Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs A Great Chaos (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $75.00 |
| 10-08 19:14 | Counter-Strike: regain vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5122940899 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 20:44 | Map Handicap: ex-Keyd Stars (-1.5) vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 20:41 | Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-07 20:23 | Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs | SELL | 0.49 | $102.08 |
| 10-07 17:48 | Counter-Strike: Sangal vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $75.00 |
| 10-07 17:48 | Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 16:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999994 | $185.00 |
| 10-04 14:29 | Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs | BUY | 0.2599999996 | $47.50 |
| 10-04 10:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.524441525 | $37.74 |
| 10-04 10:21 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |