PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7F0FbaF0F7cE21eEe027708af9271287AC9FC1eb-1771553653613

0x4473571a64ace0a401e1f55093b8a5fd38916c6e

Realised P&L
$-76.68
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$16.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%? · No0.7001.000$7.14+$2.14
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? · Yes0.7001.000$7.09+$2.13
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0250.043$1.74+$0.74
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.0800.034$0.22−$0.30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0300.021$0.13−$0.05
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.0240.001$0.02−$0.96
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$0.48
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$3.20
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$0.64
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Allison Russo be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.97
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$0.28
Will Greg Landsman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$0.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 22:15Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.0264936$0.99
04-24 22:15US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.3$1.30
04-24 22:15Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?SELL0.05$1.63
04-24 22:15Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?SELL0.048$1.95
04-24 22:15Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.059$2.49
04-24 22:15Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?SELL0.06$2.28
04-24 22:15Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.4$2.86
04-24 22:15Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.0081706238$2.66
04-24 22:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.616$4.35
04-24 22:14Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?SELL0.6499431818$4.58
04-24 22:09Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.024$0.97
04-24 22:09Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$1.56
04-24 22:09Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.92$2.62
04-24 22:09Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?SELL0.7$3.07
04-24 22:09Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?SELL0.082$3.51