0x7F0FbaF0F7cE21eEe027708af9271287AC9FC1eb-1771553653613
0x4473571a64ace0a401e1f55093b8a5fd38916c6e
- Realised P&L
- $-76.68
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $16.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.70at 0.710Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$1.05at 0.720Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
- +$0.63at 0.700Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.51at 0.070Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
- +$0.35at 0.720Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 22:15 | Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.0264936 | $0.99 |
| 04-24 22:15 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.30 |
| 04-24 22:15 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.63 |
| 04-24 22:15 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.048 | $1.95 |
| 04-24 22:15 | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.059 | $2.49 |
| 04-24 22:15 | Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.28 |
| 04-24 22:15 | Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.86 |
| 04-24 22:15 | Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.0081706238 | $2.66 |
| 04-24 22:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.616 | $4.35 |
| 04-24 22:14 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6499431818 | $4.58 |
| 04-24 22:09 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.97 |
| 04-24 22:09 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.56 |
| 04-24 22:09 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.62 |
| 04-24 22:09 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.07 |
| 04-24 22:09 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.082 | $3.51 |