PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Septen

0x4405bfeeabfcab1445a4fa9503cbd85fcfe96a37

Realised P&L
$872.93
Volume
$135.9k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.137$546.00+$446.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4190.589$351.13+$101.13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8100.993$306.33+$56.33
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2870.525$274.14+$124.15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.745$251.69+$1.69
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5340.439$205.19−$44.81
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.705$167.79+$17.77
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6400.645$125.98+$0.98
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.175$48.61−$1.39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.3500.325$46.43−$3.57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · Yes0.2000.175$43.75−$6.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1500.115$38.33−$11.67
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4890.185$18.53−$30.49
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$120.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.6360.000$0.00−$250.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:58Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7399999996$250.00
11-01 02:16Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$163.44
10-30 01:06Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.57$111.33
10-28 20:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.3499999997$50.00
10-27 06:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.6599999996$250.00
10-27 06:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.93$347.01
10-25 23:44Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.97$283.72
10-25 21:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3418981136$100.00
10-25 05:10Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$5.10
10-25 05:09Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6699999986$150.00
10-25 05:02Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.41$145.54
10-21 03:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8099999996$250.00
10-21 03:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.56$241.09
10-18 22:48Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5342733878$250.00
10-18 02:33US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.8$253.17