Septen
0x4405bfeeabfcab1445a4fa9503cbd85fcfe96a37
- Realised P&L
- $872.93
- Volume
- $135.9k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$337.18at 0.471US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$299.06at 0.780Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
- +$232.63at 0.300Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$215.70at 0.350Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$183.45at 0.548Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:58 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999996 | $250.00 |
| 11-01 02:16 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $163.44 |
| 10-30 01:06 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.57 | $111.33 |
| 10-28 20:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 06:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.6599999996 | $250.00 |
| 10-27 06:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $347.01 |
| 10-25 23:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.97 | $283.72 |
| 10-25 21:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3418981136 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 05:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.10 |
| 10-25 05:09 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999986 | $150.00 |
| 10-25 05:02 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $145.54 |
| 10-21 03:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8099999996 | $250.00 |
| 10-21 03:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.56 | $241.09 |
| 10-18 22:48 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5342733878 | $250.00 |
| 10-18 02:33 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $253.17 |