PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Septen

0x4405bfeeabfcab1445a4fa9503cbd85fcfe96a37

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$116.9k
Markets traded
155
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded155
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.165$658.00+$558.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.6140.875$356.42+$106.15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6700.805$300.37+$50.37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.7690.880$286.22+$36.22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.6360.600$235.87$14.15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5500.445$121.36$28.64
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes0.2400.300$62.50+$12.50
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4890.450$45.07$3.95
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.6000.000$0.00$120.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.04610908$23.05
09-16 00:03Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.951$293.11
09-15 03:15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.8111375112$250.00
09-15 03:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.82$297.09
09-15 03:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999972$150.00
09-15 03:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.85$172.55
09-15 03:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5999999987$94.33
09-15 03:05Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.7799999972$150.00
09-15 03:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.9364313251$325.01
09-11 21:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8099999991$99.79
09-11 21:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.18$105.19
09-11 12:18SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4894081376$49.02
09-11 11:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.75$150.00
09-11 11:28Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.57$256.67
09-10 10:04US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999983$155.69