Septen
0x4405bfeeabfcab1445a4fa9503cbd85fcfe96a37
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $116.9k
- Markets traded
- 155
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded155
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.165 | $658.00 | +$558.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.614 | 0.875 | $356.42 | +$106.15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.805 | $300.37 | +$50.37 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No | 0.769 | 0.880 | $286.22 | +$36.22 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.636 | 0.600 | $235.87 | −$14.15 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.445 | $121.36 | −$28.64 |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.300 | $62.50 | +$12.50 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.450 | $45.07 | −$3.95 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$337.18at 0.471US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$299.06at 0.780Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
- +$232.63at 0.300Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$215.70at 0.350Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$183.45at 0.548Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.04610908 | $23.05 |
| 09-16 00:03 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.951 | $293.11 |
| 09-15 03:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8111375112 | $250.00 |
| 09-15 03:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $297.09 |
| 09-15 03:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999972 | $150.00 |
| 09-15 03:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $172.55 |
| 09-15 03:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999987 | $94.33 |
| 09-15 03:05 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.7799999972 | $150.00 |
| 09-15 03:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.9364313251 | $325.01 |
| 09-11 21:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8099999991 | $99.79 |
| 09-11 21:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $105.19 |
| 09-11 12:18 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4894081376 | $49.02 |
| 09-11 11:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $150.00 |
| 09-11 11:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $256.67 |
| 09-10 10:04 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999983 | $155.69 |